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Sunday, July 5, 2026

MDB Reform Monitor Issue 2

Independent Analysis  ·  mdbreform.com
MDB Reform Monitor

Accountability in Development Finance
Issue 2 Founding Issue  ·  April 2026
Issue 2  ·  Founding Issue The Spring Meetings Record April 2026
The Governing Finding

At the Spring Meetings, the World Bank and its sister institutions presented their Africa portfolios to finance ministers and donor governments. The best-performing major sector — FCI — delivered Satisfactory outcomes on 36 percent of evaluated commitment. Transport delivered 4 percent. The institutions presented none of this. We did.

What We Published
Seven Sector Records — The Sub-Saharan Africa Delivery Brief

One paper per sector, each grounded in the full IEG-rated portfolio. Transport: 4% S+, $11.2bn, 96% below standard — Mission 300 presented against a delivery record of Mission Impossible. Energy: 15% S+, $21.5bn. Water: 25% S+. Health: 29% S+. Education: 30% S+. FCI: 36% S+. Agriculture: 38% S+. All papers freely downloadable.

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IDA at 65: $117 Billion Below Standard

The IDA21 Deputies Report told 59 donor governments that IEG shows 91 percent satisfactory performance. The actual S+ rate is 31 percent. The gap is not a rounding error — it is the governance mechanism that has protected IDA’s delivery failure from accountability for four decades. The paper proposes a Challenge Fund allocating 25 percent of IDA resources to competitive non-Bank implementers.

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Rethinking the IDA Private Sector Window

$6.18bn across 206 projects, all administered internally by IFC. No competitive process. No external additionality benchmark. IFC simultaneously originates, prices, and assesses the additionality of its own PSW transactions. Median subsidy: 32% of project cost. Local Currency Facility: 62%.

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Policy Without Performance — Development Policy Operations

DPOs account for 30% of World Bank lending by volume and carry a 16.3% S+ rate. Prior action design — 34% concentrated in BC-coded macro/fiscal conditions — has drifted toward isomorphic mimicry: the appearance of reform without the substance.

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Six Open Letters — On the Record

One per day of the Spring Meetings: to the IMF, the IEO, IFC, MIGA, the World Bank President, the Boards, and the Governors. All six published and citable.

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FCV Strategy — Full Submission

130 pages, six papers, eight recommendations. Central finding: the strategy is analytically sound. The delivery platform supposed to implement it is not.

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Looking Ahead

May and June bring the Zero Club conclusion — Education and the cross-sector synthesis — the first systematic analysis of MIGA’s unverifiable results record, the Disbursement Disconnect papers, and the Ratings Architecture note.

About the Monitor

The MDB Reform Monitor is a monthly publication of MDB Reform Advisory. Each issue synthesises the platform’s analytical output for that month into a single governing finding, a set of key papers, and a cumulative argument about why the multilateral development banking system is not delivering at the scale its resources and mandate require.

Written for Executive Directors, donor government officials, parliamentary oversight bodies, investigative journalists, and researchers who follow MDB governance. All underlying papers at mdbreform.com/navigation. All datasets at mdbreform.com/data. Correspondence: pbrar@mdbreform.com.